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The Rangers' best value right now is an $875,000 backup

Dylan Garand's shutout in Detroit covered a back-to-back, and New York's two goalies have stopped 94 of 99 shots.

Marcus Lind·Salary Cap & Contracts Analyst·3 min read
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Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin during a 2024 Eastern Conference first-round playoff game
Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin during a 2024 Eastern Conference first-round playoff game
Photo: David / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0

The number: 94 of 99. That's how many shots the Rangers' two goalies have stopped through four games, a .949 save percentage by our count. New York is 3-1, and the reason fits on two lines of a cap sheet.

The first line is the expensive one. Igor Shesterkin carries a $11,559,375 cap hit through 2032-33, with a full no-movement clause.

He has stopped 72 of 77 shots in three starts, a .935 save percentage by our count. That's what the top of the goalie market is supposed to purchase, and so far the organization is getting exactly the performance it negotiated for.

The second line is the one I'd frame. Dylan Garand is in the first year of a two-year deal at $875,000, signed in June. He takes RFA status into the summer of 2028. On Oct. 2 he got the second night of a back-to-back in Detroit and stopped all 22 shots in a 2-0 win.

Why that start matters more than it looks. Back-to-backs are where teams with an expensive starter quietly bleed standings points, because the backup inherits the most difficult schedule situations.

Last season the Rangers discovered that the expensive way. With Shesterkin out for stretches, Jonathan Quick went 6-17-2 with an .891 save percentage and Spencer Martin went 1-3-0 at .864, per NHL data. That's 7-20-2 from the backups. Quick has since retired.

Garand, by our count, went 2-0-1 with a .948 save percentage on 96 shots in his late-season look. Add Friday's shutout and the sample is still small, four regular-season appearances in total. But it's the right kind of small sample: the kind that says the backup can take a real start without the coach holding his breath.

What the pair costs. Together they come to $12,434,375 against the cap. That's roughly what some teams pay for a starter and a backup they don't trust. The Rangers have a starter they trust completely and a backup whose entire salary would barely register as a rounding error on the starter's contract.

The caveat. The goalies are covering for a blue line that isn't scoring yet. Marcus Pettersson plays 21.1 minutes a night, Braden Schneider 17.3 and Alberts Smits 14.7. Through four games the three of them have combined for zero points, by our count. Adam Fox has four assists, and that's most of the offense from the back end.

The penalty kill has contributed significantly as well. Opponents are 1 for 12 on the power play against New York, by our count. Tampa Bay went 0 for 7 in the Rangers' home opener. That conversion rate won't survive an entire season, and when it regresses, the goaltending has to absorb additional pressure.

My read. Four games is four games, and goaltending samples this small are notoriously unreliable. Shesterkin won't stop 93.5 percent forever, and Garand won't post a shutout every time he's handed a road back-to-back. But the structure is the point.

The Rangers have spent the market price on one goalie and a development-contract price on the other, and both are delivering. That's how a cap sheet is supposed to work.

What I'd watch. How often Garand starts the second half of back-to-backs this month. If he keeps winning those, his 2028 qualifying-offer conversation gets a lot more expensive.

The Islanders visit Tuesday, and Ilya Sorokin has a .968 save percentage through two starts, per NHL data. That's a goalie duel the Rangers' blue line could settle by finally showing up on the scoresheet.

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